Fall Real Estate Outlook: Trends, Insights & Opportunities
I hope you all had a wonderful and relaxing summer! As we transition into fall, I wanted to take a moment to recap the real estate market over the past few months and provide you some insights on what we can expect as we head into the new season. This summer was certainly an unusual one, with market conditions shifting in ways we didn’t anticipate, but it’s important to stay informed as we move forward. In this newsletter, I’ll break down the key trends we saw this summer and share some predictions on what’s ahead for the fall market.
Summer Recap
Typically, the summer market is steady with moderate sales, but this year saw a significant drop in activity. This shift seemed to stem from buyer caution as many waited for better market conditions, including increased inventory, price reductions, and interest rate cuts. Despite the headline news being the rise in inventory and the beginning of interest rate drops, buyers remained hesitant to make moves. We experienced the highest inventory levels in years, offering buyers a wide range of choices, but the consensus was to adopt a “wait and see” approach. Prices have stabilized, and the market is tipping in favor of buyers as we enter fall. Many sellers are coming to terms with the likelihood of price reductions, and there’s growing pressure on some homeowners to sell, particularly with mortgage renewals approaching. This pressure is expected to continue, especially for those who locked in historically low rates and will face higher renewal rates in the coming year.
Fall Outlook
As we move into fall, the headline news is that we’ve seen three rate cuts from the Bank of Canada! This marks a turning point as we finally begin to emerge from the inflationary pressures that have plagued the economy. This is great news for buyers, as there’s a lot of pent-up demand I’ve seen on the ground—buyers have just been waiting for the right time to re-enter the market. Additionally, recent changes in federal and provincial regulations aimed at “helping” homebuyers have significantly reduced the number of investors in the residential market. The silver lining here is that end users, those looking to live in their homes, are now facing less competition and are primarily competing with other homeowners, not investors. With homes sitting on the market longer, buyers have more time to do their due diligence and make fair offers, and perhaps even score a great deal! The outlook is definitely improving for buyers this season.
Mortgage Rates And How It Affects YOU
For every $100,000 borrowed, a 0.25% decrease in the interest rate would save you approximately $14.47 per month on your mortgage payments.
Example Scenario:
500,000 Mortgage, 25-Year Amortization, With a 5-Year Term
The difference in your monthly payments from the beginning of the year to now could mean significant savings. At the start of the year, with a 5% interest rate, your monthly payment would have been approximately $2,908.02. Now, with the interest rate at 4.25%, your monthly payment would drop to around $2,708.69. That’s a monthly savings of about $199.33, which adds up to a total savings of $11,959.80 over the 5-year term.
Potential Rate Drop Ahead: What to Expect
Things to watch out for: Interest rates could drop more rapidly than anticipated in 2025 if the Canadian economy stalls and faces headwinds toward a recession. According to economists, rates could be cut by 0.50%, potentially reaching the 2% range by late next year.
Conclusion
If you’re wondering when the right time to enter the market is, the answer is simple: it’s whenever you’re ready! That said, we all love a good deal, and this fall is shaping up to be a great opportunity for buyers. Increased inventory, especially in entry-level homes like condos, means there’s more room to negotiate and test out offers in a softer market. You never know what a seller’s situation might be, so it’s worth exploring options. For townhomes and detached homes, while inventory is also increasing, it’s not quite at the same pace as condos, so there’s still healthy competition in terms of pricing and demand. Now could be the perfect time to step in, explore the options.
I Stay On Top Of The New So You Don’t Have To!
Buying and selling rental properties may take a bit longer with the recent rule change by the BC government. If you’re selling a rental property and the buyer or a close family member wants to move in, landlords can only end the tenancy after the sale is finalized. Now, a Three-Month Notice to End Tenancy is required, replacing the previous two-month notice rule. This change gives tenants more time to move, so it’s important to plan for this extended timeline if you’re involved in a sale.
Navigating a Challenging Market: How I Helped Clients Buy Below Asking and Sell Quickly This Summer
Although the market was interesting and somewhat unpredictable this summer, I was still able to help my clients secure great deals—whether it was purchasing homes for under the asking price or selling properties within a short timeframe.
In a dynamic real estate environment, success often comes down to understanding market trends and adapting to them quickly. I make it a priority to thoroughly analyze each individual property, identifying its strengths and weaknesses, to give it the best possible advantage in any market conditions. Whether I’m working with buyers or sellers, the strategy is always tailored to their unique goals, ensuring the most favorable outcome.
Join the Fun: Fall Activities Perfect for Family & Friends!
Explore Some of the Best Pumpkin Patches This Fall
Pumpkin patches are a beloved fall activity in Vancouver, offering families and individuals a chance to embrace the autumn season. From mid-September to the end of October, several farms around the region open their fields for visitors to pick their perfect pumpkin. Many of these patches offer more than just pumpkin picking—they provide a full-day experience with corn mazes, hayrides, petting zoos, and seasonal treats.
Halloween-Themed Movie at Flyover Canada:
HowlOver Canada
FlyOver Canada, a popular flight simulation attraction located at Canada Place in Vancouver, offers a special Halloween-themed experience every year. For the Halloween season, FlyOver presents a spooky, family-friendly version of its immersive ride, called “HowlOver Canada.” The ride blends Halloween magic with the attraction’s signature flying experience, taking visitors on a thrilling journey across Canada with a fun, spooky twist.
The Halloween-themed movie features animated characters, eerie landscapes, and haunted scenes that perfectly capture the Halloween spirit. Riders are immersed in the experience with special effects like wind, mist, and scents, making the virtual journey feel as real as possible. The film’s storyline revolves around a lighthearted Halloween adventure, appealing to both kids and adults.
The show features the witch Biker Mama and her loyal cat Tiger Moon. After flying across the country from coast to coast to coast, the film ends with an amazing music festival.
Visiting the Vancouver International Film Festival (VIFF)
Did you know that Vancouver is home to one of North America’s biggest film festivals?
The Vancouver International Film Festival (VIFF) is one of the largest and most prestigious film festivals in North America, taking place annually in late September and early October. This iconic event showcases a diverse selection of films from Canada and around the world, celebrating both established and emerging filmmakers.
Whether you’re a cinephile, filmmaker, or casual moviegoer, VIFF offers a unique chance to experience some of the best in global and Canadian cinema, set against the vibrant cultural backdrop of Vancouver.
This Year’s VIFF Date: Sept 26 – Oct 6, 2024.
Salmon Run In The Capilano River Hatchery
The Capilano River Hatchery, located in the scenic Capilano River Regional Park in North Vancouver, is a popular spot to witness the annual salmon run, a remarkable natural event where salmon return to their birthplace to spawn. The hatchery, built to enhance salmon stocks, offers visitors a unique opportunity to observe this fascinating process up close.
Visiting the Capilano River Hatchery during the salmon run provides a close-up look at one of nature’s most incredible migrations while highlighting the importance of conservation efforts in maintaining salmon populations in BC.
This summer, we had great success with our Client Referral Program, where we rewarded clients who referred friends and family to us. Thanks to your support, we were able to give out several referral fees, including $250 CASH, as a token of appreciation. In fact, it was such a success that some of these referrals led to successful completions! We’re grateful for your trust in us and are thrilled to continue rewarding your referrals as we move forward!
Should you have any questions or want to refer someone, please don’t hesitate to reach out.